Nakhon Pathom vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nakhon Pathom v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals
Nakhon Pathom 1-3 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United beat Nakhon Pathom 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 48% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 52%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.05 to 0.73.
What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs BG Pathum United?
Nakhon Pathom 1-3 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs BG Pathum United?
Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 28%, draw 26%, BG Pathum United 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.