St. Johnstone 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 24 Jan 2026

St. Johnstone
0-1 HT 0-0
Dunfermline Athletic
📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

St. Johnstone vs Dunfermline Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.9
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
21%
3.92
X/2
5%
12.25
X/X
8%
5.44
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
9%
10.7
2/X
7%
19.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
+0.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Johnstone v Dunfermline Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.51/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.42
-19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
264 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 2.0
– Yellow Cards 4.0

St. Johnstone vs Dunfermline Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
The Meetings
08.11.2025 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
19.09.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
15.12.2020 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKLK
25.02.2012 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-1 HT 2-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKP
24.12.2011 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
13.08.2011 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 0-1 HT 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKP
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic edged past St. Johnstone 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. St. Johnstone carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.00 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Dunfermline Athletic?

St. Johnstone 0-1 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 61%, draw 20%, Dunfermline Athletic 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Johnstone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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