Newport County vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
Newport County v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals
Newport County vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Newport County 2-1 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics
Newport County came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Chesterfield 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We leaned Chesterfield at 49% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Newport County had 37% of the ball to Chesterfield's 63%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.85 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newport County and 2.00 for Chesterfield.
Newport County vs Chesterfield Result & Final Score
Newport County 2 - 1 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Newport County vs Chesterfield Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Newport County 25%, draw 26%, Chesterfield 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.