Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Notts County v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals
Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Notts County 1-0 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics
Notts County came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Crewe Alexandra 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Notts County as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Notts County had 60% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 40%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.33 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Notts County's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Notts County and 1.83 for Crewe Alexandra.
Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra Result & Final Score
Notts County 1 - 0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Notts County 47%, draw 27%, Crewe Alexandra 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.