Notts County 0-0 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Mar 2025

Notts County
0-0 HT 0-0
Crewe Alexandra
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.62
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.15
X/1
12%
4.66
X/2
14%
7.6
X/X
8%
5.04
2/1
9%
23.0
2/2
14%
5.56
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +22%
1.63/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.17
+19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
248 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 71%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.6 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.98 xG 1.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
486 Passes 208
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 18
34 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.11.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 1-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
24.02.2024 Notts County Notts County 1-3 HT 0-2 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
11.11.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
13.04.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-0 HT 1-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
29.09.2018 Notts County Notts County 2-1 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
03.02.2018 Notts County Notts County 4-1 HT 2-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2

Notts County 0-0 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
0-0
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
0.88 xG 0.66
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
371 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County and Crewe Alexandra fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Notts County had 55% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 45%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.88 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Notts County and 1.83 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra?

Notts County 0-0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Notts County 39%, draw 26%, Crewe Alexandra 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Notts County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notts County) ✓ Under 2.5
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