Grimsby Town vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grimsby Town v Newport County — Team-Based Signals
Grimsby Town vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Grimsby Town
İN2
1-1
HT 1-0
Newport County
İN2
0-2
HT 0-0
Grimsby Town
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Grimsby Town
İN2
Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics
Grimsby Town edged past Newport County 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Grimsby Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Grimsby Town had 62% of the ball to Newport County's 38%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.76 to 0.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Grimsby Town's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grimsby Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grimsby Town and 0.50 for Newport County.
What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Newport County?
Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Newport County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 54%, draw 23%, Newport County 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grimsby Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.