Newport County 0-0 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

Newport County
0-0 HT 0-0
Grimsby Town
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Newport County vs Grimsby Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 26% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.65
1/2
11%
25.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
11%
6.62
X/2
10%
4.91
X/X
12%
4.77
2/1
9%
33.0
2/2
18%
3.06
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport County v Grimsby Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport County EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -20%
1.26/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.00
-17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 68%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
20.6 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Newport County vs Grimsby Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport County
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grimsby Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.11
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
173 Passes 268
57% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
16.12.2023 Newport County Newport County 1-1 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
07.03.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
03.09.2022 Newport County Newport County 0-2 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
06.02.2021 Newport County Newport County 1-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
08.12.2020 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Newport County Newport County İN2

Newport County 0-0 Grimsby Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newport County
0-0
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.20 xG 0.92
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
363 Passes 241
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Newport County vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport County and Grimsby Town fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Newport County had 59% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 41%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Newport County and 0.83 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Newport County vs Grimsby Town?

Newport County 0-0 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport County vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newport County 36%, draw 25%, Grimsby Town 39%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
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