Colchester 1-1 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.92
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
15%
5.53
X/2
14%
5.4
X/X
12%
4.35
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
13%
3.8
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.41/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.99
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.2 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.69 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 340
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
12.08.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
04.03.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 2-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
16.08.2022 Colchester Colchester 1-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
18.04.2022 Colchester Colchester 3-0 HT 2-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
08.12.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
1-1
AWAY Bradford City
0.89 xG 0.37
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
393 Passes 144
79% Pass Accuracy 60%
33 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester and Bradford City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Colchester had 67% of the ball to Bradford City's 33%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.89 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colchester and 0.83 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Bradford City?

Colchester 1-1 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Colchester 40%, draw 25%, Bradford City 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colchester), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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