Colchester 1-1 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Jan 2024

Colchester
1-1 HT 0-1
Bradford City
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Colchester vs Bradford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.08
1/2
6%
24.7
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
10%
6.96
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
4.49
X/X
12%
4.78
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
12%
2.76
2/X
8%
13.45
Value flag · X/2 at 4.49 — our 23% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colchester v Bradford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -23%
1.26/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.98
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.8 Crosses 19.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Colchester vs Bradford City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bradford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 Passes 344
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
04.03.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 2-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
16.08.2022 Colchester Colchester 1-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
18.04.2022 Colchester Colchester 3-0 HT 2-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
08.12.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
27.03.2021 Colchester Colchester 1-2 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2

Colchester 1-1 Bradford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
1-1
AWAY Bradford City
0.34 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
378 Passes 221
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
12 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 33
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester and Bradford City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Colchester had 58% of the ball to Bradford City's 42%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 0.34 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colchester and 1.00 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Bradford City?

Colchester 1-1 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Colchester 33%, draw 26%, Bradford City 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bradford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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