Doncaster Rovers 1-1 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.85
X/1
14%
3.86
X/2
9%
9.63
X/X
11%
5.25
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
9%
7.67
2/X
8%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.80/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.35
-5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 68%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
28.6 Crosses 18.2
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Salford City
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.18 xG 1.42
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
225 Passes 314
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2024 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İNLK
13.02.2024 Salford City Salford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
24.10.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 Salford City Salford City İN2
18.03.2023 Salford City Salford City 3-1 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
20.08.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1-1
AWAY Salford City
1.31 xG 0.76
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
255 Passes 157
70% Pass Accuracy 58%
26 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers and Salford City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 58% of the ball to Salford City's 42%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.31 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.80 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Salford City?

Doncaster Rovers 1-1 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 52%, draw 25%, Salford City 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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