Salford City 0-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.2
1/2
12%
22.3
1/X
11%
13.95
X/1
11%
7.47
X/2
14%
4.5
X/X
14%
5.38
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.58
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 28.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.58 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 Passes 233
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.02.2024 Salford City Salford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
24.10.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 Salford City Salford City İN2
18.03.2023 Salford City Salford City 3-1 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
20.08.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
0-2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.75 xG 1.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
258 Passes 195
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 23
32 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers beat Salford City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Salford City had 56% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 44%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 0.75 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Salford City and 1.25 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Salford City 0-2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Salford City 28%, draw 29%, Doncaster Rovers 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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