Crewe Alexandra vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Crewe Alexandra v Notts County — Team-Based Signals
Crewe Alexandra vs Notts County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics
Crewe Alexandra came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Notts County 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Crewe Alexandra as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Notts County saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.36 to 1.93 — on chances, Notts County could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Crewe Alexandra against 0.50 for Notts County.
Crewe Alexandra vs Notts County Result & Final Score
Crewe Alexandra 2 - 1 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Crewe Alexandra vs Notts County Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 41%, draw 28%, Notts County 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crewe Alexandra), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.