Al Sadd 3-2 Shabab Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCSŞ, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.1
Over 2.5
62%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.56
No
34%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.93
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-6.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+6.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
60%
+5.9pp
34%
BTTS No
40%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.62 xG 1.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
415 Passes 318
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.12.2025 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli AŞMP
22.04.2014 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-1 HT 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli AŞMP
12.03.2014 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sadd
3-2
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Shabab Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd squeezed past Shabab Al Ahli 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Al Sadd had 58% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 42%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Sadd and 1.33 for Shabab Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Al Sadd 3-2 Shabab Al Ahli in the AFCSŞ on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 43%, draw 23%, Shabab Al Ahli 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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