Çin U23 0-4 Japonya U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.17
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
3%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.7pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çin U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 59%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.40/2.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.57
-100% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +124% / -43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.3
10.0 Crosses 40.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çin U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Japonya U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 1.34
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 Passes 213
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.04.2024 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Çin U23 Çin U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çin U23
0-4
AWAY Japonya U23
0.46 xG 2.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 2
301 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çin U23 vs Japonya U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya U23 cruised past Çin U23 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Japonya U23 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çin U23 had 49% of the ball to Japonya U23's 51%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.46 to 2.16.

What was the final score of Çin U23 vs Japonya U23?

Çin U23 0-4 Japonya U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çin U23 vs Japonya U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Japonya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Çin U23 20%, draw 29%, Japonya U23 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya U23), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →