Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 24 Jan 2026

Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 3 HT 0 - 0
Ulm 1846
📅24/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Erzgebirge Aue vs Ulm 1846 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.06
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.7
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.18
6+
6%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.98
1/2
2%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.12
X/2
11%
6.98
X/X
16%
5.06
2/1
3%
24.0
2/2
16%
4.8
2/X
5%
13.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Erzgebirge Aue v Ulm 1846 — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Erzgebirge Aue The Market 49%
Signal
AWAY Ulm 1846 The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
1.26 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.57
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Erzgebirge Aue vs Ulm 1846 Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Ulm 1846
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.39 xG 2.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
342 Passes 244
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.08.2025 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 1-0 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
30.03.2024 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 2-2 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
22.10.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-2 HT 1-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
12.09.2020 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 2-0 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AFK

Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Ulm 1846 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 3
AWAY Ulm 1846
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
374 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Erzgebirge Aue vs Ulm 1846
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ulm 1846 overpowered Erzgebirge Aue 3-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match lean was Erzgebirge Aue at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 55% to 45% in Erzgebirge Aue's favour, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ulm 1846 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.75 a game for Erzgebirge Aue against 1.75 for Ulm 1846.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Ulm 1846 Result & Final Score

Erzgebirge Aue 0 - 3 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Ulm 1846 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 44%, draw 27%, Ulm 1846 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
24 Jan 2026
16:00 Ingolstadt vs Stuttgart II Analysis →
16:00 Energie Cottbus vs Schweinfurt Analysis →
16:00 Rot-Weiss Essen vs Havelse Analysis →
16:00 Hoffenheim II vs Alemannia Aachen Analysis →
18:30 MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg Analysis →