Ulm 1846 vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ulm 1846 v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals
Ulm 1846 vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Ulm 1846
AL3
2-0
HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AFK
Ulm 1846 2-2 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics
Ulm 1846 and Erzgebirge Aue couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Ulm 1846 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ulm 1846 had 46% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 54%, shots finished 12-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ulm 1846 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ulm 1846 and 0.50 for Erzgebirge Aue.
What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Ulm 1846 2-2 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 45%, draw 30%, Erzgebirge Aue 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.