Freiburg II 1-0 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2024

Freiburg II
1-0 HT 0-0
1860 München
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Freiburg II vs 1860 München Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.84
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
9%
7.62
X/2
8%
4.36
X/X
16%
4.45
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.66
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg II v 1860 München — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
1.34/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.06
+17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
235 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Freiburg II vs 1860 München Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
1W-0D-4L
AWAY 1860 München
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 1-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
06.05.2023 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 1-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
09.11.2022 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-0 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
10.04.2022 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-2 HT 1-2 1860 München 1860 München AL3
30.10.2021 1860 München 1860 München 6-0 HT 2-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3

Freiburg II 1-0 1860 München — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg II
1-0
AWAY 1860 München
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II squeezed past 1860 München 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was 1860 München at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Freiburg II had 59% of the ball to 1860 München's 41%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, 1860 München led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Freiburg II and 2.20 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs 1860 München?

Freiburg II 1-0 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated an 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 27%, draw 32%, 1860 München 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (1860 München) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (1860 München) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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