Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.6
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
8%
6.89
X/2
13%
5.02
X/X
9%
5.04
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
20%
2.91
2/X
8%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.6 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.38/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.59
+7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 8.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-3 HT 1-2 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
25.02.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 4-0 HT 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
20.08.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 2-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
17.01.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-3 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
31.07.2021 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
1-2
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waldhof Mannheim nicked a narrow win over Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Waldhof Mannheim as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 52% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 48%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.00 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 34%, draw 25%, Waldhof Mannheim 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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