Preussen Münster 1-0 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 27% vs market 19.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.83
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
10%
6.04
X/2
18%
5.5
X/X
8%
5.02
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.36
2/X
9%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 42%
+15% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -8%
2.05/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.96
+47% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.6 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-0 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
07.05.2016 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 2-3 HT 0-3 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
28.11.2015 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-0 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
01.02.2015 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 2-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
09.08.2014 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 3-1 HT 2-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
1-0
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster squeezed past Dynamo Dresden 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Preussen Münster made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 39% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 61%, shots finished 9-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Preussen Münster and 1.60 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Dynamo Dresden?

Preussen Münster 1-0 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 37%, draw 24%, Dynamo Dresden 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Under 2.5
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