Unterhaching 0-3 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.0
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
14%
6.13
X/2
19%
5.29
X/X
10%
4.99
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
12%
3.25
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.39/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.88
+6% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 70%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
14.4 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ingolstadt
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.57 xG 1.23
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 Passes 335
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
30.01.2021 Unterhaching Unterhaching 0-1 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
03.10.2020 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
02.06.2020 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-2 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
30.09.2019 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
18.07.2018 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
0-3
AWAY Ingolstadt
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt swept aside Unterhaching 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Ingolstadt made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Unterhaching had 52% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 48%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Unterhaching and 1.17 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs Ingolstadt?

Unterhaching 0-3 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 36%, draw 24%, Ingolstadt 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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