Chesham United 3-1 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Feb 2024

Chesham United
3-1
Poole Town
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Chesham United vs Poole Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
30%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-6.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesham United v Poole Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.31/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.87
+12% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
427 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Chesham United vs Poole Town Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Poole Town
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 2-5 HT 0-1 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 3-3 HT 2-0 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
22.10.2022 Chesham United Chesham United 2-2 HT 2-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
26.03.2022 Chesham United Chesham United 3-2 HT 1-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Poole Town Poole Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United beat Poole Town 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chesham United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chesham United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Chesham United and 1.80 for Poole Town.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Poole Town?

Chesham United 3-1 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 55%, draw 21%, Poole Town 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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