Leiston 2-2 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.69/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.36
-5% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alvechurch
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.11.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-2 HT 0-2 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
11.02.2023 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
19.11.2022 Leiston Leiston 4-3 HT 3-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch FAK
24.09.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 3-3 HT 0-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
29.01.2022 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 1-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
09.10.2021 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-0 HT 2-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston and Alvechurch couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leiston at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiston had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leiston and 1.67 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Alvechurch?

Leiston 2-2 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leiston 46%, draw 22%, Alvechurch 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leiston) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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