Workington 2-1 Matlock Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Feb 2024

Workington
2-1 HT 2-0
Matlock Town
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Workington vs Matlock Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
46%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.5
No
54%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
46%
Away Win
35%
+11.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
62%
-16.6pp
54%
BTTS No
38%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Workington v Matlock Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Workington EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 39%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
2.30/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.87
+46% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Workington vs Matlock Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Workington
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Matlock Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Matlock Town Matlock Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Workington vs Matlock Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Workington squeezed past Matlock Town 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Matlock Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Workington vs Matlock Town?

Workington 2-1 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Workington vs Matlock Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matlock Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Workington 34%, draw 20%, Matlock Town 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Matlock Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matlock Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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