Atletic America 6-3 Esperança dAndorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletic America EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Esperança dAndorra EU Bookmakers 48%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletic America
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Esperança dAndorra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletic America ANDK
01.10.2023 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletic America AND
POST-MATCH Atletic America vs Esperança dAndorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletic America cruised past Esperança dAndorra 6-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Esperança dAndorra at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletic America and 1.50 for Esperança dAndorra.

What was the final score of Atletic America vs Esperança dAndorra?

Atletic America 6-3 Esperança dAndorra in the Andorra - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletic America vs Esperança dAndorra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esperança dAndorra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletic America 33%, draw 24%, Esperança dAndorra 42%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Esperança dAndorra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esperança dAndorra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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