CRAC 2-1 Morrinhos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Goiano 1, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
38%
4-5
19%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRAC The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Morrinhos The Market 36%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.69/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+25% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +135% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH CRAC vs Morrinhos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRAC nicked a narrow win over Morrinhos 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day CRAC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of CRAC vs Morrinhos?

CRAC 2-1 Morrinhos in the Brazil - Goiano 1 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRAC vs Morrinhos?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRAC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CRAC 37%, draw 31%, Morrinhos 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRAC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CRAC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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