Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-0 Maritsa Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 2nd Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.47
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
30%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
No
72%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
64%
-22.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
30%
Away Win
11%
+18.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets 1919 Burgas EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritsa Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +41%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
487 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Maritsa Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas edged past Maritsa Plovdiv 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chernomorets 1919 Burgas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (72%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Maritsa Plovdiv?

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-0 Maritsa Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Maritsa Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 42%, draw 29%, Maritsa Plovdiv 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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