24/02/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Ludogorets II vs Montana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
24%
Draw
27%
34%
Away Win
20%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ludogorets II v Montana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ludogorets II
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Montana
EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
358 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
267 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ludogorets II vs Montana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ludogorets II squeezed past Montana 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ludogorets II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ludogorets II vs Montana?
Ludogorets II 2-1 Montana in the Bulgaria - 2nd Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ludogorets II vs Montana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets II 42%, draw 24%, Montana 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ludogorets II)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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BULB
More Bulgaria - 2nd Division
24 Feb 2024