24/02/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Lens II vs Le Pays du Valois Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
51%
Home Win
61%
21%
Draw
21%
28%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lens II v Le Pays du Valois — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lens II
The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
Le Pays du Valois
The Market 21%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
416 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
285 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Lens II vs Le Pays du Valois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Le Pays du Valois saw off Lens II 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Lens II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Lens II vs Le Pays du Valois?
Lens II 0-2 Le Pays du Valois in the France - National League 3 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lens II vs Le Pays du Valois?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lens II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lens II 51%, draw 21%, Le Pays du Valois 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Lens II), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Lens II)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
FRUL3
More France - National League 3
24 Feb 2024