24/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Pontarlier vs ASPTT Dijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
41%
4-5
27%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
38%
25%
Draw
29%
31%
Away Win
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pontarlier v ASPTT Dijon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pontarlier
The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
ASPTT Dijon
The Market 36%
-32% /
-32%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-23%
/
-10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
290 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
313 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pontarlier vs ASPTT Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pontarlier cruised past ASPTT Dijon 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontarlier as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Pontarlier vs ASPTT Dijon?
Pontarlier 3-0 ASPTT Dijon in the France - National League 3 on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pontarlier vs ASPTT Dijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pontarlier win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pontarlier 44%, draw 25%, ASPTT Dijon 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontarlier), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Pontarlier)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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