Malacateco 3-0 Coban Imperial — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.7
No
37%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
55%
+8.2pp
37%
BTTS No
45%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.21/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.45
-6% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Coban Imperial
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 4-2 HT 2-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
10.09.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
07.05.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
05.03.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-1 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
30.10.2022 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-1 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
21.08.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
3-0
AWAY Coban Imperial
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco ran out comfortable winners over Coban Imperial 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

On the day, Malacateco had 46% of the ball to Coban Imperial's 54%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coban Imperial led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Malacateco and 1.50 for Coban Imperial.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Coban Imperial?

Malacateco 3-0 Coban Imperial in the Guatemala - National League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Coban Imperial?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 41%, draw 29%, Coban Imperial 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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