Coban Imperial 4-2 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.47/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.76
-20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
387 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coban Imperial
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Malacateco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
07.05.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
05.03.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-1 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
30.10.2022 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-1 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
21.08.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 1-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
27.03.2022 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 1-1 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coban Imperial beat Malacateco 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coban Imperial as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coban Imperial had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Coban Imperial and 0.50 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Coban Imperial vs Malacateco?

Coban Imperial 4-2 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coban Imperial vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coban Imperial win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Coban Imperial 60%, draw 22%, Malacateco 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coban Imperial), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coban Imperial) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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