Xelaju MC 0-1 CSD Comunicaciones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.51
Over 2.5
53%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
31%
-6.6pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
62%
-15.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
38%
+15.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY CSD Comunicaciones EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
0.88/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.30
-33% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
231 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CSD Comunicaciones
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.12.2023 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
08.12.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-2 HT 1-1 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones GUAT
21.09.2023 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones 2-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
06.08.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-0 HT 0-0 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones GUAT
30.04.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-2 HT 0-1 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones GUAT
02.03.2023 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
0-1
AWAY CSD Comunicaciones
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs CSD Comunicaciones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSD Comunicaciones squeezed past Xelaju MC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; CSD Comunicaciones found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 62% of the ball to CSD Comunicaciones's 38%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSD Comunicaciones led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Xelaju MC and 1.00 for CSD Comunicaciones.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs CSD Comunicaciones?

Xelaju MC 0-1 CSD Comunicaciones in the Guatemala - National League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs CSD Comunicaciones?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSD Comunicaciones win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 37%, draw 24%, CSD Comunicaciones 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSD Comunicaciones), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSD Comunicaciones) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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