Dziugas Telsiai 4-1 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.42
2-3 Goals
49%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
8%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.78
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X EV+
10%
16.95
X/1
11%
3.69
X/2
9%
13.3
X/X
10%
6.16
2/1
5%
22.25
2/2
12%
10.3
2/X
8%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
66%
-19.4pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.2pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai cruised past Atmosfera 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dziugas Telsiai as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs Atmosfera?

Dziugas Telsiai 4-1 Atmosfera in the Friendlies on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dziugas Telsiai win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 47%, draw 28%, Atmosfera 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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