24/02/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Suduva vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
25%
29%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Suduva v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Suduva
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
FS Jelgava
EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
273 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
330 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Suduva vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Suduva swept aside FS Jelgava 3-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Suduva found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Suduva vs FS Jelgava?
Suduva 3-0 FS Jelgava in the Friendlies on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Suduva vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Suduva 39%, draw 29%, FS Jelgava 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suduva), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Suduva)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
24 Feb 2024