Istra 1961 2-1 Rudes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 24 Feb 2024

Istra 1961
2-1 HT 1-1
Rudes
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2023/2024

Istra 1961 vs Rudes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.75
Over 2.5
37%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.97
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.93
6+ Goals
6%
17.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 34% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-11.6pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.5pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Istra 1961 v Rudes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudes EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.26/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.01
-35% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
17.2 Crosses 10.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Istra 1961 vs Rudes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rudes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.86 xG 0.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Rudes Rudes 0-4 HT 0-3 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
27.08.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
08.11.2022 Rudes Rudes 2-1 HT 2-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIRK
24.05.2019 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-0 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
04.04.2019 Rudes Rudes 1-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
16.12.2018 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIR

Istra 1961 2-1 Rudes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
2-1
AWAY Rudes
1.20 xG 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
240 Passes 366
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Rudes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 squeezed past Rudes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Istra 1961 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 42% of the ball to Rudes's 58%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.20 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Istra 1961 and 0.50 for Rudes.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Rudes?

Istra 1961 2-1 Rudes in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Rudes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 52%, draw 31%, Rudes 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Istra 1961) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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