24/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-2
Al Zawraa vs Al Karkh Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
42%
28%
Draw
24%
47%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Zawraa v Al Karkh — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Zawraa
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Karkh
EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
344 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
327 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Zawraa vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Zawraa and Al Karkh couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Al Karkh at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Al Karkh?
Al Zawraa 1-1 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Al Karkh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 24%, draw 28%, Al Karkh 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Karkh), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Karkh)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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IRAK
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24 Feb 2024