24/02/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Naft vs Al Minaa Basra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
14%
24%
Draw
19%
36%
Away Win
67%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft v Al Minaa Basra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naft
EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Minaa Basra
EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
7
265 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
356 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Naft vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Naft and Al Minaa Basra shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.
What was the final score of Naft vs Al Minaa Basra?
Naft 1-1 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft vs Al Minaa Basra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Naft 40%, draw 24%, Al Minaa Basra 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Naft), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Naft)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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IRAK
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24 Feb 2024