Diosgyor 4-0 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 24 Feb 2024

Diosgyor
4-0 HT 1-0
MOL Fehervar
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Diosgyor vs MOL Fehervar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Diosgyor v MOL Fehervar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -21%
2.00/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.30
+18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
415 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.7 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Diosgyor vs MOL Fehervar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.73 xG 2.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
441 Passes 361
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 28
30 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 4-0 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
09.05.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-4 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
20.02.2021 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-3 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
22.11.2020 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
14.03.2020 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
30.11.2019 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-3 HT 1-2 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC

Diosgyor 4-0 MOL Fehervar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
4-0
AWAY MOL Fehervar
3.25 xG 0.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
445 Passes 294
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor ran out comfortable winners over MOL Fehervar 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Diosgyor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 57% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 43%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 3.25 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Diosgyor and 2.67 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs MOL Fehervar?

Diosgyor 4-0 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 39%, draw 26%, MOL Fehervar 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diosgyor), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
24 Feb 2024
14:30 Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kecskemeti TE Analysis →
19:30 Debrecen vs Puskas FC Analysis →