Debrecen 1-0 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.97
6+ Goals
12%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.25/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.93
+3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.9 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Puskas FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 2.13
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
533 Passes 300
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
14.04.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
02.03.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-3 HT 1-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
12.11.2022 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
27.08.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 1-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
07.05.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 1-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
1-0
AWAY Puskas FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen squeezed past Puskas FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Debrecen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Debrecen had 51% of the ball to Puskas FC's 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Debrecen and 1.50 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Puskas FC?

Debrecen 1-0 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 36%, draw 28%, Puskas FC 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Debrecen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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