Stal Mielec 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 Feb 2024

Stal Mielec
0-0 HT 0-0
Rakow Czestochowa
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Stal Mielec vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
9.09
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
8%
17.55
X/1
13%
10.8
X/2
21%
3.64
X/X
10%
4.98
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.04
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
16.55
Value flag · 2/X at 16.55 — our 10% vs market 3.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stal Mielec v Rakow Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -20%
1.13/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.80
+16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +47%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 78%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.8
16.9 Crosses 24.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Stal Mielec vs Rakow Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.49 xG 1.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
308 Passes 343
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
10.02.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
31.07.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-2 HT 1-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
14.03.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
19.09.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-3 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
05.05.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL

Stal Mielec 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
0-0
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.19 xG 1.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
255 Passes 387
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec and Rakow Czestochowa fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 43% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 57%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.19 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.83 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Stal Mielec 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 23%, draw 29%, Rakow Czestochowa 48%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5
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