Sporting Braga U23 2-1 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.81
No
39%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.3pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.25/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.45
+33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
09.01.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 0-3 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
04.11.2023 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga U23
2-1
AWAY Rio Ave U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 squeezed past Rio Ave U23 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Braga U23 had 47% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 53%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sporting Braga U23 and 1.00 for Rio Ave U23.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Sporting Braga U23 2-1 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga U23 54%, draw 26%, Rio Ave U23 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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