Radnik Surdulica 1-2 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+11.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.2pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-14.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 70%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
0.70/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.73
-57% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +114%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 78%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.9
18.3 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FK Partizan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.79 xG 2.42
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
203 Passes 432
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 49
7 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 3-2 HT 0-2 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
17.03.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-2 HT 0-2 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
18.09.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
21.03.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-2 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
17.10.2021 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
21.02.2021 FK Partizan FK Partizan 3-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
1-2
AWAY FK Partizan
1.48 xG 2.43
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 7
162 Passes 251
55% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan squeezed past Radnik Surdulica 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 44% of the ball to FK Partizan's 56%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.48 to 2.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 2.17 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs FK Partizan?

Radnik Surdulica 1-2 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 25%, draw 24%, FK Partizan 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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