Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-3 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 56%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +27%
0.86/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.98
+138% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
10.0 Crosses 18.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Backa Topola
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.89 xG 3.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
417 Passes 389
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 38
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 6-3 HT 3-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
09.11.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 2-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRBK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
2-3
AWAY Backa Topola
2.36 xG 1.79
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
250 Passes 350
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola squeezed past Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 45% of the ball to Backa Topola's 55%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.36 to 1.79 — on chances, Zeleznicar Pancevo could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 4.00 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Backa Topola?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-3 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 23%, draw 28%, Backa Topola 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ BTTS Yes
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