Aluminij 0-4 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
56%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
30%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
56%
Away Win
67%
-10.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 71%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.60/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.24/1.31
+78% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
19.08.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 4-5 HT 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
26.04.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 2-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVNK
08.05.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 2-3 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
06.03.2022 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 6-0 HT 2-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
07.11.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
0-4
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana swept aside Aluminij 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aluminij had 45% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 55%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aluminij and 2.67 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Aluminij 0-4 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 22%, draw 22%, Olimpija Ljubljana 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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