Barwell 2-3 Bromsgrove Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.9pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.75/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.36
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Bromsgrove Sporting 3-0 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
18.11.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
15.04.2023 Bromsgrove Sporting 2-0 HT 2-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-1 HT 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
26.03.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-3 HT 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Bromsgrove Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
2-3
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Bromsgrove Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromsgrove Sporting squeezed past Barwell 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Bromsgrove Sporting found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barwell had 45% of the ball to Bromsgrove Sporting's 55%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bromsgrove Sporting led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Barwell and 2.00 for Bromsgrove Sporting.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Barwell 2-3 Bromsgrove Sporting in the England - Non League Premier on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barwell 40%, draw 31%, Bromsgrove Sporting 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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