Leicester City U21 2-1 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.41
No
48%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.8pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
67%
-14.6pp
48%
BTTS No
33%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.24/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-6% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +122%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 8.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City U21
2-1
AWAY Derby County U21
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
282 Passes 377
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leicester City U21 vs Derby County U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City U21 edged past Derby County U21 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leicester City U21 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leicester City U21 had 45% of the ball to Derby County U21's 55%, shots finished 18-14.

What was the final score of Leicester City U21 vs Derby County U21?

Leicester City U21 2-1 Derby County U21 in the INGPL2 on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City U21 vs Derby County U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Leicester City U21 47%, draw 29%, Derby County U21 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leicester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2 More INGPL2
24 Feb 2025
22:00 Reading U21 vs West Ham United U21 Analysis →
22:00 West Bromwich Albion U21 vs Crystal Palace U21 Analysis →
22:00 Leeds United U21 vs Norwich City U21 Analysis →
22:00 Blackburn Rovers U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 Analysis →