UTA Arad 1-2 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
21.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +2%
1.16/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.36
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
17.2 Crosses 19.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sepsi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.38 xG 1.03
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
231 Passes 397
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
27.01.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-1 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
04.09.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
02.12.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-4 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
07.08.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
16.04.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 1-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-2
AWAY Sepsi
1.93 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
296 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi nicked a narrow win over UTA Arad 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Sepsi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UTA Arad had 50% of the ball to Sepsi's 50%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.93 to 0.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured UTA Arad.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for UTA Arad and 1.33 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Sepsi?

UTA Arad 1-2 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 36%, draw 26%, Sepsi 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepsi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepsi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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