Al Najma 3-0 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒18:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.82/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.89
+47% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Faisaly
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
06.10.2024 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
21.05.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
01.01.2024 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma swept aside Al Faisaly 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Najma as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Najma and 1.67 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Faisaly?

Al Najma 3-0 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 43%, draw 27%, Al Faisaly 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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