Warrenpoint Town 1-0 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2026

Warrenpoint Town
1-0 HT 0-0
Ballinamallard United
📅24/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Warrenpoint Town vs Ballinamallard United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Warrenpoint Town v Ballinamallard United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 33%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +0%
1.00/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.78
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Warrenpoint Town vs Ballinamallard United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrenpoint Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-4 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
25.02.2023 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
04.02.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
08.11.2022 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
20.07.2019 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United HAZ
08.08.2015 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL
POST-MATCH Warrenpoint Town vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrenpoint Town nicked a narrow win over Ballinamallard United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Warrenpoint Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Warrenpoint Town and 0.83 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Warrenpoint Town vs Ballinamallard United?

Warrenpoint Town 1-0 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 24/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrenpoint Town vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warrenpoint Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Warrenpoint Town 44%, draw 28%, Ballinamallard United 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warrenpoint Town), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Warrenpoint Town) ✓ Under 2.5
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