Dalian Zhixing 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.44
Over 2.5
31%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
13%
6.42
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.0pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.5pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.8pp
31%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.2pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
Crosses 12.1
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
1-0
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.84 xG 0.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
193 Passes 432
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing squeezed past Guangxi Baoyun 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 36% / 31% — and on the day Dalian Zhixing made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 36% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 64%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.84 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Dalian Zhixing 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 33%, draw 36%, Guangxi Baoyun 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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